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Israel-Iran missile war intensifies.

15.06.2025 23:39

Renewed missile exchanges between Israel and Iran have dramatically escalated the conflict, leading to significant casualties and heightened global tensions. Following an Iranian attack on the Israeli coastal city of Haifa, resulting in a visible explosion, Israel retaliated with further strikes targeting military installations within Iran. This escalation occurred despite widespread international pleas for diplomatic solutions and de-escalation efforts, as reported by various international news sources.

The human cost of this renewed conflict is substantial. Preliminary reports from local officials in both nations indicate at least 224 fatalities in Iran and 14 in Israel. Furthermore, the Iranian Ministry of Health has confirmed over 1,277 injuries resulting from the wave of Israeli attacks that began on Friday. Adding to the grim picture, the semi-official Iranian news agency, Mehr News, announced the commencement of a fourth phase in Iran's military operation against Israel. Iranian authorities have issued a strong warning, promising a resolute response to any further Israeli aggression.

This escalating conflict has already triggered noticeable market reactions. As of this writing, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has seen a significant increase, currently trading 1.78% higher at $72.88 per barrel. This upward trend reflects a "risk-on" market sentiment, a term referring to investor willingness to embrace riskier assets fueled by optimism.

The "risk-on" versus "risk-off" dynamic is a crucial concept in financial markets. A "risk-on" environment, as currently observed, usually boosts stock markets and commodity prices (excluding gold), strengthening currencies of major commodity exporters due to increased demand, and often leading to gains in cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a "risk-off" scenario, characterized by investor apprehension, typically sees a surge in bond prices (particularly government bonds), a rise in the price of gold, and a strengthening of safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and US Dollar. The Australian Dollar, among others, is also subject to fluctuations based on these market shifts.