04.12.2025 15:29

A novel prediction market named Predict.fun has made its debut on the BNB Chain, with online sources highlighting the involvement of Binance founder Changpeng Zhao. Developed by a former Binance employee and nurtured through the YZiLabs incubation and investment program, the platform introduces a groundbreaking feature that allows users' locked capital to generate a yield while their prediction positions remain open.

For a long time, the inefficiency of idle capital has been a major challenge in prediction markets, compelling traders to lock up their funds for extended periods without any form of passive income. While industry giants like Polymarket and Kalshi have attempted to mitigate this opportunity cost through staking rewards, treasury incentives, or point-based systems, Predict.fun adopts a fundamentally different approach. The platform is designed to automatically generate yield on deposited funds, ensuring that capital remains productive throughout the duration of a bet without requiring any manual action from the user.

Despite its innovative model, Predict.fun's current scale is modest, with only two active markets that have accumulated a total volume of approximately $300,000. Nevertheless, the platform reports impressive early engagement, having attracted over 12,000 registered users who have collectively placed nearly 300,000 bets. This stands in stark contrast to the established leaders in the space. For perspective, market titan Polymarket boasts a total trading volume exceeding $3 billion, while Kalshi's volume to date is recorded at around $587 million. Even a smaller competitor, Limitless, has achieved a volume of approximately $10.9 million, according to data from internet sources, underscoring the significant ground Predict.fun has yet to cover.